Abortion Analysis

Current Conventional Wisdom holds that legalized abortion is a significant reason that Social conservatives unite across the economic spectrum behind the Republicans, against some of their own economic interests (for less wealthy conservatives), and providing the Republicans the power to wage the current war.

Additionally, as pointed out by the Opinion Journal, (http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110005277) abortion has caused a much larger reduction in voting age democrats than Republicans, by a large enough margin to account for the current Republican majority.

This isn't particularly surprising given the core constituencies of both political parties. But translating percentages into numbers for the purpose of evaluating their impact on politics makes the importance of these numbers real. It's one thing to quote percentages and statistics, it's quite another to look at actual human beings.

For example:• There are 19,748,000 Democrats who are not with us today. (49.37 percent of 40 million).• There are 13,900,000 Republican who are not with us today. (34.75 percent of 40 million).• By comparison, then, the Democrats have lost 5,848,000 more voters than the Republicans have.

And as Slate reported, abortion also is responsible for the reduction in crime that we have seen since the Roe v. Wade generation came of age. (http://www.slate.com/id/33569/entry/33571).

The theoretical justification for our argument rests on two simple assumptions: 1) Legalized abortion leads to fewer "unwanted" babies being born, and 2) unwanted babies are more likely to suffer abuse and neglect and are therefore at an increased risk for criminal involvement later in life. The first assumption, that abortion reduces the number of unwanted children, is true virtually by definition. The second assumption, that unwanted children are at increased risk for criminal involvement, is supported by three decades of academic research. If one accepts these two assumptions, then a direct mechanism by which the legalization of abortion can reduce crime has been established.

It seems to me then, that Roe v. Wade has proved several things that most of us have probably always thought:

Democrats are more likely to be criminals.
Democrats are less wanted, and as kids are more likely to be neglected and abused.
And abortion proponents are to blame for the war in Iraq.